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50/50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$13m Vol.
31 Dec 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Yes
No
US$1m Vol.
04 Nov 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Yes
No
US$40m Vol.
01 Apr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$35m Vol.
31 Dec 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Yes
No
US$76m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
Yes
No
US$2m Vol.
30 Nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Yes
No
US$228k Vol.
04 Nov 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Yes
No
US$1m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Yes
No
US$176k Vol.
04 Nov 2026
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Yes
No
US$1m Vol.
01 Jan 2027
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Yes
No
US$174k Vol.
04 Nov 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes
No
US$247k Vol.
04 Nov 2026
